Qualif. Champions Play Offs. Final
Global 4-5
Sampdoria vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 1
SAM
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
BOC
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HOF
4 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RWA
0 - 4
BRE
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FUL
5 - 1
BRE
29%
24%
46%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 2
BRE
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |