Sampdoria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
SAM
3 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
49%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIC
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
TRI
1 - 2
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
PAL
4 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |