Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
PON
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
SAM
3 - 1
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SAM
8 - 0
CAM
91%
8%
2%
|
84 | 9 | 75 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 3
SAM
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MOD
2 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
MOD
4 - 1
PIS
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MOD
6 - 0
CIT
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
MOD
2 - 2
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |