Serie A Round 14

Sampdoria vs Modena analysis

Sampdoria Modena
78 ELO 77
-3.2% Tilt -11.5%
405º General ELO ranking 466º
30º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Sampdoria
24.6%
Draw
20.7%
Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
Sampdoria
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
Modena
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria
+2%
-3%
Modena

ELO progression

Sampdoria
Modena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2003
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
75%
17%
8%
79 91 12 0
13 Dec. 2003
PRG
Perugia
3 - 3
Sampdoria
SAM
60%
23%
17%
79 84 5 0
07 Dec. 2003
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 1
Siena
SIE
54%
25%
21%
78 77 1 +1
03 Dec. 2003
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
24%
27%
49%
78 91 13 0
30 Nov. 2003
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Ancona
ANC
63%
22%
15%
78 70 8 0

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2003
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
78%
15%
7%
78 89 11 0
14 Dec. 2003
ROM
Roma
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
79%
15%
7%
78 90 12 0
07 Dec. 2003
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
37%
28%
35%
78 82 4 0
03 Dec. 2003
MOD
Modena
0 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
24%
28%
48%
78 89 11 0
30 Nov. 2003
ACM
Milan
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
76%
17%
8%
78 91 13 0