Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
SAM
5 - 0
USC
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SAM
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 2
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
USC
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 3
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |