Serie A Round 2

Sampdoria vs Milan analysis

Sampdoria Milan
76 ELO 88
3.8% Tilt 2.8%
383º General ELO ranking 10º
30º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.6%
Sampdoria
22.7%
Draw
43.7%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Sampdoria
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.7%
Win probability
Milan
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria
+3%
-5%
Milan

ELO progression

Sampdoria
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 1950
NOV
Novara
3 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
46%
22%
32%
77 74 3 0
28 May. 1950
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 4
Juventus
JUV
38%
24%
39%
78 88 10 -1
21 May. 1950
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
59%
20%
21%
78 80 2 0
14 May. 1950
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 3
Pro Patria
PRO
66%
18%
16%
78 75 3 0
07 May. 1950
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
65%
18%
17%
78 74 4 0

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 1950
ACM
Milan
6 - 2
Udinese
UDI
86%
9%
5%
88 74 14 0
28 May. 1950
ACM
Milan
6 - 2
Roma
ROM
83%
11%
7%
88 74 14 0
21 May. 1950
ACM
Milan
5 - 2
Triestina
TRI
81%
12%
8%
88 78 10 0
14 May. 1950
PAD
Padova
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
29%
23%
48%
87 74 13 +1
07 May. 1950
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 0
Milan
ACM
19%
22%
59%
88 72 16 -1