Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 2
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
COM
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |