Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
26.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 1
JUV
32%
32%
36%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
FIO
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACM
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 0
VAR
36%
31%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAG
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |