Serie AB Sub 18 Round 4

Sampdoria U18 vs Milan U18 analysis

Sampdoria U18 Milan U18
23 ELO 33
4.8% Tilt -9.4%
10456º General ELO ranking 9556º
384º Country ELO ranking 361º
ELO win probability
31.2%
Sampdoria U18
22.3%
Draw
46.6%
Milan U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
Sampdoria U18
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.6%
Win probability
Milan U18
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria U18
+15%
+15%
Milan U18

Points and table prediction

Sampdoria U18
Their league position
Milan U18
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
16º
16º
50
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter U18
66
66
100%
Atalanta U18
59
62
58.5%
Roma U18
60
60
58.5%
Lazio U18
56
59
89.5%
Genoa U18
53
54
93.5%
Cagliari U18
50
53
54.5%
Empoli U18
49
52
25%
Milan U18
50
51
46%
Parma U18
50
50
31%
 Bologna U18
10º
46
49
10º
85.5%
Fiorentina U18
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Sassuolo U18
14º
32
35
12º
30.5%
Torino U18
12º
34
34
13º
31.5%
Lecce U18
13º
32
32
14º
78.5%
Hellas Verona U18
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Sampdoria U18
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Frosinone U18
17º
9
9
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sampdoria U18
Milan U18
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sampdoria U18
Milan U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria U18
Sampdoria U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
LEC
Lecce U18
3 - 1
Sampdoria U18
SAM
63%
19%
18%
24 30 6 0
24 Sep. 2023
SAM
Sampdoria U18
0 - 3
Hellas Verona U18
HEL
34%
21%
45%
25 30 5 -1
17 Sep. 2023
FRO
Frosinone U18
2 - 2
Sampdoria U18
SAM
9%
15%
76%
26 9 17 -1
27 May. 2023
CES
Cesena U18
4 - 0
Sampdoria U18
SAM
61%
20%
19%
26 31 5 0
14 May. 2023
SAM
Sampdoria U18
3 - 1
Roma U18
ASR
17%
19%
64%
23 38 15 +3

Matches

Milan U18
Milan U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
MIL
Milan U18
2 - 0
Sassuolo U18
SAS
52%
22%
26%
32 27 5 0
24 Sep. 2023
INT
Inter U18
2 - 1
Milan U18
MIL
75%
14%
11%
32 41 9 0
17 Sep. 2023
MIL
Milan U18
2 - 1
Lazio U18
LAZ
47%
23%
30%
31 28 3 +1
27 May. 2023
MIL
Milan U18
1 - 2
AC Monza U18
ACM
63%
20%
18%
32 23 9 -1
21 May. 2023
VNZ
Venezia U18
0 - 2
Milan U18
MIL
17%
20%
63%
31 19 12 +1