Sampayo U. vs Caldelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampayo U.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAN
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
SAM
70%
17%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 2
SAM
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
AMA
20%
21%
59%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caldelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 1
CAL
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
AMA
60%
20%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 3
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
6 - 1
MOS
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |