Sampaio Correa vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
5 - 1
QUI
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAM
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAC
0 - 0
SAM
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
JOS
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 6
BAC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JOS
0 - 0
AME
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
IMP
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |