2. HNL Round 21

Samobor vs NK Istra 1961 analysis

Samobor NK Istra 1961
54 ELO 65
3.8% Tilt -11.3%
27935º General ELO ranking 757º
123º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.5%
Samobor
25.7%
Draw
45.7%
NK Istra 1961

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Samobor
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.7%
Win probability
NK Istra 1961
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Samobor
+36%
+22%
NK Istra 1961

ELO progression

Samobor
NK Istra 1961
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Samobor
Samobor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2002
SAM
Samobor
0 - 2
HNK Orijent Rijeka
ORI
49%
24%
27%
56 56 0 0
09 Mar. 2002
TRN
NK Trnje
0 - 1
Samobor
SAM
37%
27%
36%
55 48 7 +1
02 Mar. 2002
SAM
Samobor
2 - 2
Uljanik
ULJ
45%
25%
30%
55 58 3 0
23 Feb. 2002
NOV
Novalja
1 - 0
Samobor
SAM
47%
26%
27%
56 55 1 -1
01 Dec. 2001
SAM
Samobor
1 - 0
Imotski
IMO
65%
20%
15%
56 46 10 0

Matches

NK Istra 1961
NK Istra 1961
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2002
IST
NK Istra 1961
0 - 0
Inter Zapresic
INT
63%
21%
15%
65 54 11 0
09 Mar. 2002
ORI
HNK Orijent Rijeka
0 - 2
NK Istra 1961
IST
32%
28%
40%
65 56 9 0
02 Mar. 2002
IST
NK Istra 1961
3 - 1
Mosor
MOS
60%
22%
18%
64 59 5 +1
23 Feb. 2002
TRN
NK Trnje
0 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
27%
26%
47%
64 47 17 0
04 Dec. 2001
NOV
Novalja
0 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
27%
25%
48%
64 55 9 0