Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
10º
5º
75
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
KOL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SAB
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 0
DBA
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAB
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
DTB
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |