Samger vs Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 1
SEA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAK
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
REA
0 - 2
SAM
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 3
GAM
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ARM
2 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 1
HAW
50%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
INT
0 - 0
HAW
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ARM
0 - 0
HAW
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
HAW
0 - 1
GPA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HAW
0 - 0
GAM
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |