Samegrelo vs Sapovnela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
4 - 2
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
SHU
19%
20%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
7 - 0
SAM
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 5
DIN
16%
20%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
EGR
5 - 0
SAM
80%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sapovnela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
KOL
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
SAP
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 5
SHU
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 4
SAP
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 2
DIN
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |