Samegrelo vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
WIT
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAT
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MET
3 - 0
SAM
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
BET
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SKU
1 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
BOR
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
FTK
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
CHK
3 - 3
CHI
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |