Samarra vs Al Zawraa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
NAS
1 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
3 - 1
ALN
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
JAI
3 - 1
SFC
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
ARB
4 - 2
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
ALZ
1 - 2
ALT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
ALZ
1 - 1
DUH
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALZ
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
ALZ
3 - 0
WAK
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |