Iraq League Round 38

Samarra vs Al Naft analysis

Samarra Al Naft
52 ELO 71
4.5% Tilt 1.4%
36457º General ELO ranking 1547º
68º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
26.9%
Samarra
29.7%
Draw
43.4%
Al Naft

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
Samarra
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.4%
Win probability
Al Naft
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Samarra
Al Naft
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Samarra
Samarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2022
ZAK
Zakho
3 - 0
Samarra
SFC
52%
28%
21%
53 65 12 0
15 Jun. 2022
SFC
Samarra
0 - 0
Naft Al-Basra
NAB
27%
27%
46%
53 65 12 0
07 Jun. 2022
ARB
Erbil
2 - 1
Samarra
SFC
58%
25%
17%
53 65 12 0
02 Jun. 2022
SFC
Samarra
1 - 2
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
32%
30%
38%
54 67 13 -1
28 May. 2022
ALT
Al Talaba
3 - 1
Samarra
SFC
66%
21%
13%
54 71 17 0

Matches

Al Naft
Al Naft
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2022
ALN
Al Naft
3 - 0
Al-Qasim
QAS
45%
28%
27%
71 63 8 0
16 Jun. 2022
ALS
Al Sinaah
0 - 0
Al Naft
ALN
35%
31%
34%
71 64 7 0
08 Jun. 2022
ALN
Al Naft
0 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALQ
42%
29%
28%
71 71 0 0
04 Jun. 2022
WAS
Naft Al-Wasat
0 - 2
Al Naft
ALN
43%
30%
28%
71 71 0 0
28 May. 2022
ALN
Al Naft
2 - 2
Al Zawraa
ALZ
41%
30%
30%
71 71 0 0