Samarra vs Al Karkh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
DIY
0 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
SFC
1 - 0
ALK
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 1
SFC
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
RAM
0 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
ALK
2 - 3
KAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 0
RAM
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
ALT
1 - 0
KAR
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
ALN
0 - 2
KAR
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 0
BFC
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |