Sámano vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SDT
3 - 2
SAM
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ARE
2 - 2
SAM
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 3
CAY
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
SAM
39%
26%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
BUE
24%
23%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 1
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
4 - 1
NMO
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
4 - 1
VEL
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COM
3 - 2
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |