Sámano vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
REV
3 - 1
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
RAC
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CUL
0 - 1
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 1
SDT
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAY
2 - 1
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 4
ESC
9%
18%
73%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
6 - 0
REV
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 0
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 0
CUL
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SDT
2 - 2
ESC
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |