Sámano vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
SAM
20%
22%
59%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAY
22%
24%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
REV
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 3
SAM
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
TEX
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RIN
0 - 1
RIB
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SIE
2 - 1
RIN
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BEZ
0 - 3
RIN
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RIN
2 - 2
ALB
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RIN
2 - 6
CAY
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |