Sámano vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 3
SAM
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
TEX
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 0
ALB
56%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RAC
5 - 1
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CAY
2 - 0
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 2
REV
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
TEX
1 - 0
REV
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REV
0 - 1
SIE
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIN
1 - 0
REV
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
REV
2 - 2
RAC
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |