Sámano vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 1
SAM
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
SFC
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NAV
0 - 0
SEL
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 1
NAV
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAT
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NAV
3 - 1
NOJ
51%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |