Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 3
RBS
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
0 - 0
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
3 - 0
RBS
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
5 - 0
WIE
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AWM
0 - 1
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
AWM
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RAP
2 - 0
STR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 6
STR
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
WIN
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |