UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-0
Salzburg vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 2
RBS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RBS
3 - 1
LAS
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
RBS
5 - 2
RIZ
62%
21%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
OED
0 - 6
RBS
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
RBS
3 - 0
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
0 - 0
SHK
65%
18%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 0
SHF
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
4 - 0
SHK
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
TNS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
VOR
1 - 3
SHK
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |