Europa League Round 5

Salzburg vs Lazio analysis

Salzburg Lazio
82 ELO 84
16.3% Tilt 3.4%
526º General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.2%
Salzburg
24.2%
Draw
25.6%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
Salzburg
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.6%
Win probability
Lazio
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Salzburg
+18%
-3%
Lazio

ELO progression

Salzburg
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2009
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 0
Rapid Wien
RAP
52%
23%
25%
82 82 0 0
21 Nov. 2009
KAP
Kapfenberger SV
0 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
30%
26%
44%
82 69 13 0
08 Nov. 2009
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
2 - 3
Salzburg
RBS
35%
24%
41%
82 73 9 0
05 Nov. 2009
LSO
Levski Sofia
0 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
47%
24%
29%
82 77 5 0
31 Oct. 2009
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 0
Mattersburg
MAT
69%
19%
12%
82 74 8 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2009
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
64%
22%
15%
84 76 8 0
22 Nov. 2009
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
39%
27%
34%
84 81 3 0
08 Nov. 2009
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
28%
26%
46%
84 89 5 0
05 Nov. 2009
VIL
Villarreal
4 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
61%
22%
16%
84 89 5 0
01 Nov. 2009
SIE
Siena
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
84 77 7 0