UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 6-0
Salzburg vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DLB
0 - 7
RBS
6%
13%
81%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
0 - 3
RBS
32%
24%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
RBS
4 - 1
AND
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
RBS
1 - 2
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RBS
5 - 1
DAC
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
0 - 3
RBS
32%
24%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TIN
0 - 1
HIB
45%
22%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 0
TIN
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 6
HIB
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HIB
3 - 1
SAI
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |