Salvadense vs Amarelejense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salvadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
BER
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DBE
5 - 1
SAL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PGO
2 - 2
SAL
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
MOU
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Amarelejense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 3
DBE
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PGO
3 - 0
AMA
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 1
AMA
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
DES
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SDM
1 - 3
AMA
32%
23%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |