SalPa vs EsPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SalPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
VII
1 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
SAL
4 - 2
NUP
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAL
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
ESP
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EsPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 6
MUS
23%
20%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 5
TPV
20%
23%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
KAP
2 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
PEI
46%
22%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 2
GIR
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |