Salisbury City vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 0
SAL
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
HEN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 3
WHI
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MET
3 - 2
SAL
30%
23%
47%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 2
TIV
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
TAU
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |