Salisbury City vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAT
0 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
SAL
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
GRI
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 1
SAL
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 0
EBB
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
EBB
1 - 1
DAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DAR
4 - 3
HYD
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |