Salgueiro vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SAL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAL
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PET
1 - 1
SAL
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 7
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
SDJ
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 2
VIT
11%
21%
67%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |