Salgueiro vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SAL
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PET
3 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
4 - 3
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
AME
86%
10%
3%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
SPO
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |