Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
7 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |