Coppa Italia Group C Round 1

Salernitana vs Lazio analysis

Salernitana Lazio
61 ELO 63
0.2% Tilt -2.4%
411º General ELO ranking 17º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.2%
Salernitana
19.5%
Draw
20.3%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
Salernitana
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.3%
Win probability
Lazio
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Salernitana
-7%
-7%
Lazio

ELO progression

Salernitana
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Salernitana
Salernitana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 1982
SAL
Salernitana
1 - 2
Avellino
AVE
44%
24%
32%
62 73 11 0
29 Aug. 1982
PRG
Perugia
1 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
53%
24%
24%
62 71 9 0
22 Aug. 1982
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
42%
23%
35%
62 57 5 0
18 Aug. 1982
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
34%
26%
40%
62 81 19 0
18 Jun. 1967
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Padova
PAD
33%
31%
36%
52 70 18 +10

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Napoli
NAP
33%
30%
37%
63 81 18 0
29 Aug. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
69%
21%
10%
63 57 6 0
22 Aug. 1982
AVE
Avellino
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
68%
19%
14%
63 73 10 0
18 Aug. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Perugia
PRG
41%
27%
32%
62 72 10 +1
13 Jun. 1982
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
63 62 1 -1