Salernitana vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 2
REG
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAT
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FIO
2 - 1
PIA
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 0
FIO
20%
25%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |