St Geneviève vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
6º
42
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 36 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NEU
1 - 1
STG
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
STG
4 - 0
MON
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RAC
4 - 0
STG
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
STG
3 - 0
ASP
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
YZE
0 - 1
STG
16%
25%
59%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 0
CSL
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCG
0 - 3
TRO
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SML
3 - 2
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 0
DIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AUX
1 - 1
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |