NCAA Division I Metro Atlantic Athletic Round 4

Saint Peter's Peacocks vs Fairfield analysis

Saint Peter's Peacocks Fairfield
26 ELO 26
1.9% Tilt 0%
47099º General ELO ranking 47093º
788º Country ELO ranking 782º
ELO win probability
46.7%
Saint Peter's Peacocks
21.6%
Draw
31.7%
Fairfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Saint Peter's Peacocks
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.7%
Win probability
Fairfield
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint Peter's Peacocks
+4%
-7%
Fairfield

ELO progression

Saint Peter's Peacocks
Fairfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fairfield
Fairfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2021
FFU
Fairfield
0 - 1
Quinnipiac Cats
QPC
40%
22%
38%
28 31 3 0
11 Mar. 2021
CAC
Canisius
0 - 2
Fairfield
FFU
8%
14%
79%
27 12 15 +1