Ligue 1 . Jor. 36

Saint-Étienne vs Olympique Marseille analysis

Saint-Étienne Olympique Marseille
82 ELO 87
-6.3% Tilt -7.4%
831º General ELO ranking 88º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.6%
Saint-Étienne
25.8%
Draw
44.6%
Olympique Marseille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
Saint-Étienne
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.6%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint-Étienne
+4%
-1%
Olympique Marseille

ELO progression

Saint-Étienne
Olympique Marseille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2012
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
65%
20%
15%
83 87 4 0
29 Apr. 2012
ASS
Saint-Étienne
1 - 0
Dijon FCO
DIJ
59%
23%
18%
82 74 8 +1
21 Apr. 2012
CAE
Caen
1 - 4
Saint-Étienne
ASS
38%
28%
35%
82 77 5 0
15 Apr. 2012
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 1
Stade Brestois
BRE
62%
23%
14%
82 76 6 0
07 Apr. 2012
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
28%
29%
43%
82 72 10 0

Matches

Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2012
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Nancy
ASN
67%
20%
13%
87 80 7 0
27 Apr. 2012
LOR
Lorient
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
23%
25%
52%
88 80 8 -1
21 Apr. 2012
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
32%
27%
42%
88 85 3 0
18 Apr. 2012
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Caen
CAE
69%
19%
12%
88 77 11 0
14 Apr. 2012
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
51%
23%
27%
88 89 1 0
X