Saint-Étienne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
ASS
4 - 1
RVA
87%
11%
3%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 1
GIR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 1
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASS
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 1
REI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
LYO
1 - 0
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 2
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 2
NIC
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |