Saint-Étienne vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 2
ASS
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 4
ASS
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
PSG
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 4
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
NEX
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AUS
3 - 1
BAS
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |