Saint-Etienne U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
11º
1º
17
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Etienne U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ETI
0 - 1
MON
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ETI
6 - 1
ROD
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 0
ETI
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
ETI
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETI
0 - 1
AJA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MGG
3 - 1
ROD
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NIC
7 - 0
MGG
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
MGG
64%
18%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 6
AJA
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |