Sagreño vs Guadalajara Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
SAG
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 1
AZU
29%
25%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JDO
1 - 0
SAG
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 0
REC
32%
24%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VSA
3 - 0
SAG
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalajara Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GPR
1 - 1
ESQ
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
GPR
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GPR
1 - 1
HOR
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
GPR
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GPR
7 - 0
TOR
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |