Sagreño vs Guadalajara Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATG
0 - 1
SAG
8%
16%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAG
3 - 1
SIG
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAG
7%
16%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAG
3 - 2
YUN
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
2 - 0
SAG
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalajara Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GPR
3 - 0
CON
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CBA
1 - 1
GPR
60%
18%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GPR
5 - 0
ATA
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
YEP
0 - 3
GPR
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATG
2 - 4
GPR
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |