Sagrada Esperança vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagrada Esperança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BLU
1 - 1
SAG
27%
30%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 1
PDC
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ADL
1 - 0
SAG
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAG
1 - 1
REC
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
PET
1 - 0
SAG
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
PET
2 - 1
PRO
66%
23%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BLU
2 - 0
PRO
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
PDC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 1
PRO
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
REC
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |