J3 League Normal Season Round 12

Sagamihara vs Osaka analysis

Sagamihara Osaka
54 ELO 59
-14.4% Tilt -7.3%
3353º General ELO ranking 2331º
56º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Sagamihara
26.9%
Draw
44.6%
Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Sagamihara
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.6%
Win probability
Osaka
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagamihara
+22%
+8%
Osaka

Points and table prediction

Sagamihara
Their league position
Osaka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
12º
58
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RB Omiya Ardija
85
85
100%
Imabari
73
73
100%
Kataller Toyama
64
64
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
60
60
100%
Fukushima United
59
59
100%
Osaka
58
58
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
56
56
100%
Gifu
53
53
0%
Sagamihara
53
53
0%
Azul Claro Numazu
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Vanraure Hachinohe
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Gainare Tottori
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Zweigen Kanazawa
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ryūkyū
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Nara Club
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
18º
37
37
18º
100%
YSCC
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Grulla Morioka
20º
22
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sagamihara
Osaka
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sagamihara
Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagamihara
Sagamihara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
35%
27%
39%
54 49 5 0
13 Apr. 2024
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 0
Fukushima United
FUK
39%
27%
34%
54 54 0 0
10 Apr. 2024
AZU
Azul Claro Numazu
2 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
48%
26%
26%
54 56 2 0
06 Apr. 2024
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 1
Gifu
GIF
28%
28%
44%
54 60 6 0
30 Mar. 2024
SAG
Sagamihara
2 - 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
KAM
51%
26%
23%
54 50 4 0

Matches

Osaka
Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2024
OSA
Osaka
2 - 2
Azul Claro Numazu
AZU
46%
28%
25%
60 56 4 0
14 Apr. 2024
GRU
Grulla Morioka
0 - 1
Osaka
OSA
34%
26%
40%
59 54 5 +1
10 Apr. 2024
OSA
Osaka
2 - 0
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
44%
29%
28%
59 56 3 0
06 Apr. 2024
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
1 - 0
Osaka
OSA
45%
25%
30%
59 59 0 0
30 Mar. 2024
OSA
Osaka
0 - 0
Imabari
FCI
30%
28%
42%
59 62 3 0