Sacramento Republic vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
3 - 0
SAC
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
ORS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LVG
2 - 1
SAC
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
PIT
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEM
0 - 1
LOU
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TUL
2 - 1
LOU
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
AFC
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |