Sablé vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STA
2 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAB
1 - 1
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
SAB
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAI
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
SAB
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
VOL
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
GUI
63%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 1
LAT
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
STA
2 - 0
GUI
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
5 - 0
LOC
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |