Sablé vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
37
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 2
SAB
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SNA
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCB
2 - 2
SAB
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USS
5 - 1
SAB
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 2
ESO
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
FON
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
LAV
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 0
FON
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |